Live decision
Avoid chasing a move after an extreme 24h impulse.
PairBTCUSDT
Qwen actionTrade
GovernorVeto
Conviction75%
AI decision room
Updated Aug 20, 04:57Insights
322/728 refused trades later crossed their stop band. Catalyst records restraint as a measurable outcome.
Qwen actionTrademodel proposal
GovernorVetodeterministic gate
Council3/0/3trade / stand-down / watch
Decision CSVdownloadOpen proofOpen latest receipt ->
Governor resolution
Council cleared the trade threshold (3/3); the governor resolved it as Veto: Avoid chasing a move after an extreme 24h impulse.
CouncilTrade Candidate
Live scouts4/6
Required3
Failed checksmomentum_not_extreme
Council dissent
from receipt 0369a9be...e8f10b
3 trade / 0 stand-down / 3 watch
Council cleared the trade threshold (3/3); the governor resolved it as Veto: Avoid chasing a move after an extreme 24h impulse.
Chart Scout
Reads Bitget candles and Agent Hub technicalsAgent Hub technical-analysis verdict STRONG BULLISH; RSI 84.49; MACD golden_cross; MA trend bull; ATR 1.15%
Flow Scout
Checks market structure and volatilityrealized volatility proxy 3.28%, regime uptrend
Macro Scout
Looks for broad risk-on or risk-off contextAgent Hub macro feed unavailable; fallback uses Bitget market regime uptrend, market-intel trend_confirmed, technical bullish. This is context only a…
Narrative Scout
Checks whether news confirms the setupAgent Hub news feed unavailable or empty for BTCUSDT; Catalyst treats this as no catalyst confirmation instead of inventing a headline.
Positioning Scout
Reads funding and derivatives positioningFunding 0.0100%, open interest 34.99K contracts; Bitget derivatives positioning is balanced
Qwen Strategist
Synthesizes the thesis in plain languageTechnical and regime signals converge on a bullish setup. Strong momentum (+8.2% 24h, +9.45% 72h) aligns with a confirmed uptrend, stacked moving ave…
Refusal outcomes
Download per-decision CSV ->What happened after no-trade
| Thesis | Reason | Would-have outcome | Stop-band |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT Long | momentum_not_extreme | +1.40% | Window Close |
| ETHUSDT Short | conviction_floor, momentum_not_extreme | -0.08% | crossed stop |
| BTCUSDT Long | momentum_not_extreme | +1.24% | Window Close |
| SOLUSDT Long | momentum_not_extreme | +1.51% | Window Close |
| ETHUSDT Short | conviction_floor, momentum_not_extreme | -0.08% | crossed stop |
| BTCUSDT Long | momentum_not_extreme | +1.16% | Window Close |
| ETHUSDT Long | momentum_not_extreme | +1.54% | Window Close |
| BTCUSDT Long | conviction_floor | +1.01% | Window Close |
Qwen thesis
Technical and regime signals converge on a bullish setup. Strong momentum (+8.2% 24h, +9.45% 72h) aligns with a confirmed uptrend, stacked moving averages, and a MACD golden cross. Balanced derivatives positioning (funding 0.01%, steady OI) suggests sustainable upside without excessive leverage risk, outweighing near-term overbought RSI readings.
Modelqwen3.6-plus
ActionTrade
Conviction75%